Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 13.228868 15.169919 17.244876 19.622096 22.264164 25.104318 28.382025
2025-07-27 10.522861 13.137377 16.124980 19.768718 24.068475 28.956023 34.905603
2025-08-03 8.551103 11.417212 14.866968 19.279530 24.723974 31.169673 39.320957
2025-08-10 7.178273 10.160921 13.915015 18.913780 25.313844 33.146624 43.360428
2025-08-17 6.103608 9.116566 13.066185 18.517951 25.729281 34.813342 46.974914
2025-08-24 5.257441 8.258703 12.344476 18.173013 26.113008 36.375773 50.438497
2025-08-31 4.491888 7.414345 11.541827 17.618903 26.131555 37.403063 53.184768
2025-09-07 4.041741 6.971639 11.245889 17.714458 26.995383 39.539024 57.424534
2025-09-14 3.634218 6.543886 10.923793 17.728813 27.716510 41.477765 61.434679
2025-09-21 3.325629 6.234790 10.743707 17.920899 28.675132 43.752868 65.954359
2025-09-28 3.009157 5.876354 10.452322 17.913409 29.322848 45.593287 69.907031
2025-10-05 2.826089 5.721404 10.462482 18.355780 30.639453 48.412802 75.307389
2025-10-12 2.630627 5.528529 10.401018 18.687593 31.813880 51.085611 80.615178
2025-10-19 2.418253 5.282059 10.229424 18.826959 32.690855 53.344582 85.388297
2025-10-26 2.125353 4.851834 9.709037 18.357141 32.582359 54.119008 87.993290
2025-11-02 1.885458 4.493952 9.281456 18.005949 32.630172 55.110318 90.925516
2025-11-09 1.668631 4.154963 8.856919 17.625931 32.600787 55.965370 93.657936
2025-11-16 1.482578 3.855720 8.477947 17.294818 32.624682 56.887782 96.500091
2025-11-23 1.292723 3.523057 8.005963 16.763011 32.278194 57.202482 98.399773
2025-11-30 1.193918 3.379580 7.885149 16.854712 32.984358 59.199826 102.951062
2025-12-07 1.095825 3.225136 7.729057 16.868488 33.550453 60.981045 107.200758
2025-12-14 1.023286 3.122044 7.667429 17.052838 34.416055 63.267090 112.298746
2025-12-21 0.939100 2.979316 7.511688 17.045649 34.937472 64.996906 116.544697